Stock market volatility has been extremely low for some time now. A few weeks ago, I wrote about 2017 having the lowest average CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) reading ever (we have VIX data back to 1990). It is a bit of a myth that options traders require a lot of volatility to be profitable. That’s not the case at all. As volatility has fallen, so have the expectations for volatility. This lowers options prices, which means stocks need a smaller move to be profitable. This week, I’ll list some stocks whose options are thriving in this low VIX environment.
How to Find Stocks With Attractive Options
To determine stocks that have had attractive options, I calculated returns on straddles over the past two years. A straddle consists of buying a call option and a put option on a stock. The call and put should have the same strike and expiration date. This takes direction out of the equation, so the position can profit whether the stock goes up or down. However, the stock move must be bigger than simply buying a call or put, because it must be enough to cover both premiums that were bought.
The Top Stocks for Straddles in the Past Two Years
The data below assumes you purchased an at-the-money straddle 12 days before expiration. This time frame is analogous to purchasing a straddle at today’s close that expires on Friday, Aug. 18. It assumes you held the straddle through expiration and closed it at intrinsic value.
Using the method above and going by the average straddle return, the table below shows the top 20 stocks for straddle plays over the past two years. It also shows the median straddle return, the percent that were positive, and the percent that would have doubled your money.
The last column shows the percentage of the straddles that were positive due to the call option. In other words, of all the positive straddles, it indicates the percentage that were positive due to an increase in the stock price as opposed to a decrease in the stock price. This list of stocks was much more volatile than what option players had priced in.
Below is another list of 20 stocks that were good straddle plays over the past couple of years. These are stocks that had the highest percent positive. These stocks wouldn’t have earned you the most money with their straddles, but they turned out winners more consistently than others.
Finally, below is a list of stocks whose straddles doubled most often. These stocks provided a decent number of opportunities for big short-term gains for traders able to time volatility.
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